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Next
talk of the Seminar (11:00, online)
02/06/2022: “The pandemic seen from a simple mathematical model
perspective”
Carla
M.A. Pinto (CMUP & ISEP - Instituto
Superior de Engenharia do Porto)
In this talk, we will describe a simple
Susceptible-Infected-Quarantine-Recovered (mSIQR)
model, for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2, responsible for the COVID-19
pandemic. After the relevant theoretical analysis, including the well-posedness of the model, calculation of the reproduction
number and the corresponding sensitivity indices, we discuss the results of
the simulations of the model. COVID-19 pandemic data, from several
countries, including France, US, UK, and Portugal, are fitted by the model.
We discuss the epidemiological relevance of the results and provide
insights on future patterns, subjected to health policies.
KEYWORDS
epidemiology, mSIQR
model, real data fitting, SARS-CoV-2
Zoom’s link: https://videoconf-colibri.zoom.us/j/82251646005?pwd=bDJ3WG9VRnU4UlhrMTh6L2FmendBUT09
ID: 82251646005, Password:
978911
This Seminar is supported in part by the Portuguese Foundation for
Science and Technology (FCT - Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia),
through CIDMA - Center for Research and Development in Mathematics and
Applications, within project UIDB/04106/2020.
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